experience in arriving at
probability estimates . . . " In a summation of the conference which expresses
very nicely science's position on this matter Mr. Fine says, "We would judge
that the concept of subjective probability is at present the only basis upon
which probability statements can be made about the extraterrestrial intelligent
life."
In conclusion, the shortness of the UFO section may seem strange but that is not
for lack of written reports; on the contrary, this kind of literature is
available in enormous quantities and there are even specialty book stores that
deal in UFO writings exclusively. Nevertheless, the two samples used are typical
and explanatory; space people can be talked about but their existence cannot be
proven as yet, they have to be seen in order to be believable.
The religion section is somewhat longer but fairly poor in religion per se. The
reason is very similar; a creator's existence cannot be proven yet either, and
existing evidence can at best be described as circumstantial and given to
different interpretations. In addition to that, the mystery is what makes God, a
God and not just another ET. Also, one of the basic requirements of most
religions is faith without inquiry.
And thus, again, we come back to the Scientific Method; it may not be the best
possible system of thinking, but it is the best humanity has so far devised for
coping with natural phenomena. Also, it is the one that can devise working
models, of situations and events, which are taking into consideration all the
known factors that are relevant. And most important, it is the only method of
basing conclusions on evidence that is measurable, and on experiments that can
be duplicated. As we have seen, is on the verge of proving the existence of life
in outer space and it has certainly accepted the possibility of extraterrestrial
life. The search for it is an ongoing task and the proof may not be that far in
the future.
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