Other relevant investigations are the ones being made into the possibility of
spontaneous life generation; even though we have seen some evidence that seems
point to the existence of life in places other than Earth, which is still not
conclusive enough. Also, it does not offer an explanation for life and therefore
somewhat suspect. Many experiments on the generation of life have been conducted
so far; Speaking at a conference on communicating with extraterrestrial
intelligence (CETI), Carl Sagan is describing such a series, " . . . with this
encouragement we can do the experiment one more time and mix together a mixture
of methane, ammonia and water, supply it with energy and see what molecules are
constructed." (And later on,) " . . . a wide variety of such experiments have
been performed . . . and what we find is that not only are amino acids made in
high yield but also the nucleotide bases and sugars, and indeed all the small
fundamental building blocks of biochemistry."
Mr. Sagan is presenting a formulation of the " . . . number of technological
civilizations in the Milky Way at or beyond our level of technological
advance." The formulation as devised by Frank Drake is as follows: N =
R*fpnef1f;fc1.
This formulation is the central issue of the CETI conference and its factors are
discussed at length by an international panel of scientists. The applicable ones
are: the rate of star formation averaged over the lifetime of our Galaxy, the
fraction of stars which have planetary systems, the mean number of planets
within such planetary systems which are ecologically suitable for life, the
fraction of such planets on which the origin of life actually occurs and the
fraction of such planets on which intelligence arises. (For a fuller
development, please refer to the proceeds of the CETI conference.) This formula
is revealing the extent of extraterrestrial intelligence. Most of the factors in
our formula can only be replaced by probable figures; at the present time these
probabilities are not even statistical because we do not have any data at all on
some of them. What we are talking about are subjective probabilities; their
nature is defined by Terrence Fine thus, "The subjective view . . . encourages
the holder to use his informal judgement, beliefs,
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